Today’s Plays of the Day from Aqueduct
With the play of the day being just a $7,500 restricted claiming race, it looks like we are slumming it today, but if Trusted Heart gets home at close to his 8/1 morning line odds, the winnings will spend just as well as if we had the winner in a $1 million race.
The colt is making his second start for the crafty Gary Guillo barn, which has outstanding numbers when adding blinkers to his horses.
Our Late Pick 3 play includes three live longshots in the three race sequence, and we have a good shot of turning our $24 investment into a nice windfall.
The middle leg of the sequence is the $65,000 Love Is Eternal Stakes, which drew a wide open field of ten fillies and mares who will go one mile on the main track.
Today’s Play of the Day from Aqueduct:
AQU Race 5 Clm $7,500B (2:20 ET)
#6 Trusting Heart 8/1
#4 The Yes Man 5/2
#9 Mr. Serious 12/1
#1 One Lucky Date 9/5
Analysis: #6 Trusting Heart gets the nod in a wide open weak cheap claimer. The colt was never a threat last out against $10K non winners of three in a dull effort, which was his first go for the Guillo barn. This guy owns back numbers that he earned back in the spring that would be good enough to win here and note the addition of blinkers here for a barn that is 39% winners (with a +ROI) with adding the hood. He drops a notch in price and comes back quickly with just a week off. It is a soft spot and the 8/1 ML looks fair enough.
#4 The Yes Man is returning off a seven week break, last out a sharp winner versus $5K non winners of three at Monmouth Park in the slop. Only the Suffolk shipper earned a higher last out speed fig and at least this guy comes in here with some decent form, something we can’t say about most of this group.
Wagering
WIN: #6 to win at 9/2 or better.
EX: 4,6 / 1,4,6,9
TRI: 4,6 / 1,4,6,9 / 1,4,5,6,9
Today’s Pick 3 Play from Aqueduct:
Starting in Race 7: $1: 10,11 / 1,3,8 / 4,5,7,10 = $24
AQU Race 7 Alw $50,000s (3:16 ET)
#11 Baton Rouge, #10 Unaccountable
#11 Baton Rouge was dismissed at 34/1 last out against Alw-1 foes, pressing the early pace from the inside and weakening to finish fifth. That was a decent field, the third place finisher Extra Zip beating state bred Alw-2 optional claimers in his next start while fourth place finisher Good Prospect was fourth in a NY Stallion series stake last week. He is back in with starter allowance types and three back this guy was headed for home with a clear lead at the condition before weakening to finish third. The barn has been sending out live runners at the meet and this colt figures to be a decent price in this spot.
#10 Unaccountable returns off nearly a two month break after a nose win last out against $35K non winners of three at Belmont Park, his third win in his last four starts. He has run well fresh for the Brown barn that is on fire at the meet, picking up another win yesterday, and is 28% winners with horses coming back off a 31-60 day break.
AQU Race 8 Love Is Eternal S. (3:44 ET)
#1 My Dinah / #1a Them There Eyes, #8 Rightly So, #3 Yet Again
#1 My Dinah gets the call here and is by far the stronger part of the entry here. The filly stretches back out to a route here after catching a sloppy surface last out in a runner up finish behind the gate to wire winner #8 Rightly So. The filly has done her best working at today’s distance (8-5-1-1) and the filly she chased last out may not have things as easy on the front in this spot. She has won 3 of 5 over the Big A main track including a restricted stake back in April. She should be rolling late.
#8 Rightly So has won four in a row since running second in her debut, last out winning her stakes debut by taking the Iroquois going seven panels in the slop. She makes her third start off the bench for the red hot Tony D. barn and has enough pedigree to handle the extra distance. She did show two back she does not need the lead to win. She does pick up six pounds for her first go at a mile and the price is going to be on the light side.
AQU Race 9 Md $25,000 (4:12 ET)
#7 Watch Smartly, #10 Chick in Slacks, #5 Dreary Day, #4 Music to Me
#7 Watch Smartly drew a tough post last out when coming back off a eight month layoff. She as not a threat in a sixth place finish and figures to be fitter second off the bench. She has a decent pedigree, by Smart Strike out of the stakes winner Watch Rachel ($419K) an eight time turf winner. She has dropped three winners, including one turf winner. Rosie picks up the call and this filly was in versus tougher in Florida in her previous starts.
#10 Chick in Slacks made a good late rally to finish in the runner up spot last out when dropping in for a $25K tag. She is on the light side pedigree wise for the grass but she did cross the wire first for a $35K tag only to get DQ’d back in June. She makes her third start of her current form cycle but does draw an outside post and the price is on the light side.
Price Plays From Aqueduct:
These are price plays to watch today. A small win-place wager is in order or if your pockets are deep enough, use these runners in your trifecta and Pick 3 and Pick 4 wagers. One or two of these could be the difference between a regular day at the track and hitting the IRS window with a signer.
R2: #8 King’s Fleet 12/1
R3: #4 Hunting 10/1
R4: #8 Farawaycat 10/1
R5: #6 Trusting Heart 8/1
R5: #9 Mr. Serious 12/1
R6: #7 Principesa Heather 10/1
R7: #11 Baton Rouge 12/1
R8: #3 Yet Again 8/1
R8: #4 Lovely Daniella 8/1
R9: #4 Music to Me 20/1
Good luck padding your bankroll today!
